Free PDF Zero Hour: Turn the Greatest Political and Financial Upheaval in Modern History to Your Advantage, by Andrew Pancholi
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Zero Hour: Turn the Greatest Political and Financial Upheaval in Modern History to Your Advantage, by Andrew Pancholi
Free PDF Zero Hour: Turn the Greatest Political and Financial Upheaval in Modern History to Your Advantage, by Andrew Pancholi
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Review
“Harry S. Dent, Jr. is known for his investment-related vision and innovation. He saw the collapse of Japan in 1989 just before it happened and now he sees another major financial and political crisis ahead in the United States. In this book, Harry outlines the great political and financial revolution that is just beginning and traces it back to the birth of democracy. I’m running for governor of Connecticut and plan to be a part of this revolution by showing how to turn around the Constitution State so it can be a model for other states and the U.S. government to follow.” —David Walker, former U.S. comptroller general “Harry S. Dent, Jr.is making a credible argument for why this current cycle could turn into a modern day civil war and split the red and blue states—and he sees a similar revolution in many places around the world. Put on your seatbelts! Don’t miss this very factual and controversial book.” —David A. Stockman, author of The Great Deformation “Harry S. Dent, Jr. and I have, in our respective research, been warning about the unprecedented and unsustainable global and U.S. debt build up for over a decade now. We both agree that a ‘great reset’ is inevitable at this point, and will destroy much of our financial assets, banks, and businesses. But Harry adds a deeper political revolution from his and Andy Pancholi’s impressive cycle work, which has clearly already begun. A must-read book!” —John Mauldin, author of Code Red “Harry S. Dent, Jr. makes a very compelling argument that technology and globalization have progressed so much that they have put sectors of society at each other’s throats. It is an important insight that globalization could retreat for decades to come. As always, Harry brings fresh new insights and clarity to a seemingly unpredictable and complex economy. This is a must-read book if you want to navigate the greatest political divide since the Civil War.” —George Gilder, author of Knowledge and Power and Life After Google “The title Zero Hour is woefully inadequate to capture the broad array of historical, economic, psychological, political, social, diplomatic, military, technological, demographic, and global trends covered in this book. Whether you are an investor or interested observer, you will want to read how Dent and Pancholi challenge many well-known views, including my own, on interest rates. Regardless of whether you agree or not, you will benefit from reading their new book, evaluating their arguments, and learning their perspective on a great many issues vital to our economic future.” —Lacy Hunt, PhD, economist, Hoisington Investment Management
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About the Author
Harry S. Dent, Jr. is the bestselling author of The Demographic Cliff, The Sale of a Lifetime, The Great Depression Ahead, and many other books. He is the founder of Dent Research, which publishes the newsletters Economy & Markets, Boom & Bust, and The Leading Edge, among many others. He has an MBA from Harvard, consulted for Fortune 100 companies while at Bain & Company, and lectures widely. Andrew Pancholi is the director and chief strategist of Cycles Analysis and author of the acclaimed newsletter The Market Timing Report.
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Product details
Hardcover: 336 pages
Publisher: Portfolio (November 14, 2017)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 9780525536055
ISBN-13: 978-0525536055
ASIN: 0525536051
Product Dimensions:
6.6 x 1.1 x 9.3 inches
Shipping Weight: 1.2 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review:
3.4 out of 5 stars
41 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#31,062 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
There is very little new information here. If you are looking for specific investment recommendations in terms of how to benefit from a major market correction, look elsewhere. Otherwise, there are some good historical nuggets here that offer insight into past market corrections. I would say it’s a moderately entertaining read if you can pick up a used copy on the cheap, but disappointing if you pay full price for a new copy.
In their previous work on Demographics the authors predicted doom, gloom and eventual boom.Here we are at the beginning of 2018. The world is not on fire, the markets are still way over any CAPE trend value and confidence is climbing.Winter is coming. These guys see that, but like the rest of us, they can not say when.Deleverage now, but don't despair quite yet. Wait for the yield curve to invert or for the Fed to foul the elections this coming Fall. Then make your best guess.
I love Harry. I think his demographics arguments are great for analyzing the state of the economy. However, I am not so sure demographics is best for explaining the stock market. Further, with the internet and modern competitive capitalism things change faster than in the past. We may be already passed the period that these cycles were useful. They may have to be updated as our economic life speeds forward. We’ll see!
Dent is basically an economist with an emphasis in investments. He starts the book with a mind-numbing number of various economic, political, and social cycles which produce an even larger mind-numbing number of dates. The theory is that all these cycles converge at the same time about every 250 years to produce revolutionary economic, political, and social upheavals.Starting with Luther's Reformation of 1517 we have a revolutionary upheaval that divided Europe into Protestant and Catholic sections. About 250 years later in 1776 we got the American Revolution which ushered in major political (democracy), economic (free enterprise), and social (industrial revolution) changes. This system has been in place for 242 years and Dent predicts a major financial crisis sometime between 2017 and 2020 which will produce new changes. Dent says the 2016 Brexit vote and the Trump election are just the beginning of the coming revolution.Whether you believe in cycles or not there is no doubt that we are in troubled times. Social unrest is increasing, public anger is increasing, political polarization is increasing and the whole system is sinking into greater debt. Total debt in America including government, business, and personal debt is approaching $70 trillion but no one seems to know the exact number.We are definitely in an anti-establishment rebellion against the elites who run government and business with top-down management which has been facilitated by computers. Dent believes the coming social revolution will change society into one that is bottom-up with a networking model of business where every employee will be a business, meaning that employees will have the power to be like entrepreneurs and create business practices on their own. This model will spread to all of society which will be more productive because more egalitarian, democratic, inclusive, and decentralized.As Dent notes, economic crashes tend to happen in October. It is now almost a year from when Dent thought we may have a crash in late 2017 and the next October is only a few months away. The current economic expansion will be the longest in history in about a month and it will be hard to keep it going. So Trump has an extremely difficult challenge ahead of him. He has been able to stimulate business with cuts in taxes and regulations but it is not certain how long this stimulation can last. The Democrats of course are doing everything they can to obstruct anything he does.Trump's current move is to counter foreign tariffs with American tariffs and the media constantly reports that these tariffs will hurt American consumers. There is no appreciation that American business can replace any foreign goods with American made goods, that this will increase employment, or that domestic competition can the lower prices of these substitute goods. So we will have to wait and see if America can keep its economic expansion going or if Dent's cycles will take over.
Must read for caution in your financial future. While Harry is not always right, you cannot ignore the demographics impact on our economy. History repeats itself and if you survived that recent US financial crash you will understand the house of cards will once again fold. Be careful what cards you are holding when it takes another crash.
Demographic and cyclical data presentation in a way that everyone can understand.
Interesting, but a bit sensational......maybe occur, but future hard to predict.....good for awareness of the world around us.
I have read most if what Harry Dent has written. This is not his best book. His remarks in the first third of the book seemed uncharacteristically juvenile, and he seemed to want to push a liberal philosophy. It got better towards the last two-thirds, more like his old self. Compared to Jim Rickards’ “The Road to Ruin†it compares badly. But his simpler approach may appeal to some people who have not read much on this subject before. A great exercise to “compare and contrast†the two approaches to a similar subject.
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